Ditch the hedges. Unless we're trying to communicate uncertainty, don't hedge . Hedging undermines our impact, even when we're not intending to do so.Second, though, when we need to communicate uncertainty, we can name it.
And there's only 200 inspectors at City Hall. Hedging for the benefit of society is to put all 100 back into jail and leave them there.
You can count on getting food from someone else. Bet hedging is all about spreading out your risk, doing it a lot, and trying to sample a broad temporal series
of receptiveness that are the most predictive of human ratings and so H-E-A-R. H stands for Hedging your claims. So it's words like sometimes, maybe, perhaps, occasionally.
You can count on getting food from someone else. known as bet hedging .
You can count on getting food from someone else. And so hedging , of course, is-- diversification in general is the fundamental strategy for risk management.
We're not clear whether we'll have developed enough infrastructure to be serious about sending humans to Mars in the 2030s. And so we're hedging a little bit and thinking about ideas for either more robotic missions that are continuing the science exploration of Mars, or if it would transition more, to supporting human missions to Mars, which would also do science, but in a different context.
And I mean, that was our most requested flavor. And we were like hedging away from it. For those of you that don't know what durian is, it's very stinky.
It's like stinky tofu. But we were just hedging away from it. We don't want to touch durian.
Aw. Why the compulsive hedging ? Well there is a saying among bureaucrats that you must always follow the imperative CYA, Cover Your Anatomy.
If we're not exactly sure, if we don't know what we want to say, hedging is an easy way to sort of protect ourselves. But the problem is that by hedging , we are undermining our impact. We often use it as sort of an easy phrase just because it's convenient.
Time is short. Maybe the child will still die despite your effort. that's also a form of hedging , needless to say, due to law of large numbers again, and this concept can be transferred to philanthropy
And everything they did was informed by how the other would respond. But Russia-- Russia's been hedging against the loss of-- access to Crimea for a long time.
So this is not a one-way bet that everyone is making on one particular thing. This is millions and millions of things with insurance companies hedging and investment people playing both sides and banks betting on both sides.
We can sell it China side for pretty much the same price, if not even sometimes a better price. So you're getting a little bit of that hedging also in the specialty tea markets. So some companies a little less interested in doing business in the US over the last few years.
That's what a derivative is. It's a contract. Both sides are hedging or betting. So notional makes something really big seem bigger than it is.
You can count on getting food from someone else. of environments. The essence of bet hedging is trading off the mean for a reduction in variance, and I should mention the term comes from the race
Yeah, suckers. Those suckers gave me a two-book deal. So high hopes. I think they were hedging their bets. So I understood why they did it.
when we do our scholarly work. But most members of the public don't want to hear us hedging . They want to hear people making very powerful affirmative statements saying this is true, even if we're not necessarily certain about this.
it in the fridge for like months if you if you want to. A lot of times cookbook authors will say, "Oh, we can only keep it for like one month." Well, we're hedging a little bit because we never quite know how long people will keep things. And sometimes they'll keep things for a really long time in the fridge. And you really don't want that coming back at you. So, um, with this
The reader is there to see what the writer is going to do about it. Another corollary of the model behind classic prose is to minimize the kind of hedging that professional writers are apt to indulge in, where they drizzle their prose with mushy little qualifiers.
I'm not just saying it's not clear. Some very nice research for example, shows that the more we use hedging and other types of uncertain language, the more open
They're always hedged in some way. So what he does is, he takes all the bits which are hedging against an invasion, and puts those in his report, in Golikov's report to Stalin. And all the bits that are mitigating, that are, to us, hindsight enlightened minds,
And the first thing I would say is that it is documented that women do use more hedging language than men do.
So some people said, oh, you're really hedging your bets, aren't you?
We hedge . Hedges are simple linguistic turns of phrase that allow us to sort of balance things a little bit. If we're not exactly sure, if we don't know what we want to say, hedging is an easy way to sort of protect ourselves. But the problem is that by hedging , we are undermining our impact.
Well, first of all, let me just say I'm hedging my bets, as you know.
they tend to shift from being attackers to defenders, and less of the art of the possible, and more about hedging the downside, but the really
He said, "I don't disagree, and I don't agree." So he's sort of hedging his bets.
simply doubt and you don't know, or you say, "I don't know." And Atheists find it, in many instances, contemptible because you are hedging your bets and taking what Pascal, Blaise Pascal,
all know what happened. The deniers, along with their enablers in my line of work, the journalists who are scared to come out and say anything without hedging it, so they're