But with the Google Earth Engine, or project or program really producing an information source which will be of global value for everyone-- Foresight , where do we want to go?
give their forecasts to corporations and state actors and you say work in foresight uh explain that a little bit bit more because I I have have read the book I don't know if everyone else hasso explain what you mean by this foresight when when I say foresight I basically mean futurism but a lot of people who do this professionally will
design which is purposeful goal directed it's somewhat foresighted not as foresighted as it often thinks it is and of course it's governed by costconsiderations as you all know
So here's an analogy I like to use, and this is with all credit to the folks at Santa Clara University and their tech ethics practice. But foresight issues, if you will, ethical issues, are like birds. First, they're everywhere. Some are ordinary.
actually played uh football at stanford university as a freshman in 1997 if i had a little more foresight i would have walked over the computer science department and asked around for a few phd students looking for answers about algorithms but instead of met larry and sergey as their employee
We invest a lot in internal talent. We have a foresight team that does horizon scanning on a constant basis, and this becomes our engine. But we don't stop there because this is not only confined to us as Dubai Future Foundation.
I do think there will be new jobs. It's hard in foresight to predict what those new jobs will look like. And then the minute you start talking about humanoid robots and robotics, which I think is basically going to hit society like a
I mean, many of these parks, if you look at-- across the park in London, UK, that kind of trio of Hyde Park and James Park. There's remarkable foresight there in actually trying to, through this really kind of Victorian park design, bring a piece of the countryside into our cities. Because even then in the 1800s, it was recognized, wow, these cities are stressful, smelly, kind of awful places to be at times.
That was really-- Because again, we are not filmmakers. Did not have the foresight to see that commercial licensing is a whole other monster. Yeah. To be able to show this movie with 45 songs or 4-- how many do we have in there?
there are things you have to be careful about because the process is different in fundamental ways evolution of course is purposeless foresight extremely costly trillions and trillions and quadrillions of poor organisms die childless oh 99% of everything that's
space and then put things on the on the on the cube in various places so in this knowledge by comprehension by foresight he really knew what he was doing and he had purpose and foresight he was
function for the book but there are the people who work in foresight for some version of the common good and there are the people who work in foresight in order to
who work in foresight for some version of the common good and there are the people who work in foresight in order to give their forecasts to corporations and state actors and you say work in
so explain what you mean by this foresight when when I say foresight I basically mean futurism but a lot of people who do this professionally will talk in terms of foresight strategy um because it's not just trying to see what's coming down the pike but trying to prepare for it in some way uh
University. He's known for his ideas on idea futures and markets, and was involved in the creation of DARPA's Future Map project in the Foresight Institute's Foresight Exchange. He invented market scoring rules, like the LMSR, used by prediction markets such as Consensus Point, where he is the chief scientist, and has conducted research
That's actually not the problem-solving algorithm at work. There's no foresight . Species don't decide a direction in which to evolve.
you're 16, you can actually write code and do this and it's like, "WOW! This is really cool!" So that gets a lot, a lot of, a lot of buy in. have any optimistic foresight on how that's gonna be addressed because there's such a strong movement towards basic skills and showing that we have competency on tests because schools
of dedication it takes um I think uh a lot of foresight is required so my advice would simply be as educated about the whole process and the whole period and the whole timeline as possible so
I'd like to add just a little bit of additional dimension to that. So I'm a professor of strategic foresight at NYU Stern in the MBA program. And part of what I teach students how to do is to model plausible next-order outcomes.
You've got to embank it when it's empty. So the whole point is foresight , prudence. That's how to get lucky.
These are based on the UK government Foresight Project on Mental Capital and Wellbeing that I was involved with as a lead.
And could you build a way into your platform or product to give them the right to capture, share, or monetize their data independently outside from you? And there is a responsibility as a foresight tool to be thinking about those possibilities before they happen.
And could you build a way into your platform or product to give them the right to capture, share, or monetize their data independently outside from you? It's a way of bringing foresight about unintended consequences or unanticipated consequences, or consequences that you probably could have foreseen
foresight uh explain that a little bit bit more because I I have have read the book I don't know if everyone else hasso explain what you mean by this foresight when when I say foresight I basically mean futurism but a lot of people who do this professionally will talk in terms of foresight strategy um because it's not just trying
And his doctor had the foresight to save it.
I didn't have the foresight when I was at the Lilly Library to photograph the rejections.
have had the sense and foresight to avoid.
And then there is the discipline of Foresight Studies, which both Madeline Ashby and Karl Schroeder studied in graduate school.
did he just have the foresight that few other people did?
a lot of the football experts a lot of the traditionalists of the day who were very anti-passing had a very strong difference of opinion because fielding yost had the the foresight and the wisdom to turn friedman loose and the forward passing sensation was born much to the
I would actually argue against that, Jules. I think there's certain US cities that have shown remarkable foresight . If you look at the city-- New York, Central Park; Boston, the Emerald Necklace.
Yeah. Actually, as you were talking about that-- because you're right. Central Park in New York is just an amazing foresight investment. I mentioned I'm in the Lower East Side.
I don't know how we had the foresight to do that.
And I was just wondering if you had the foresight to put a no zero G clause in your contract, or whether we're going to be seeing you floating around
during that period that the people who seem to be successful are the ones who still love what they're doing it's like anything else in that regard um but it takes this foresight because they have to make all these choices before they even begin the process
Cool is taste. It's foresight .
But I don't think all of us have that kind of foresight , unfortunately.
coming to Google. So this guy had foresight . And it's true, my dear friends. Even if you are one in a
And so a special lens, like Ethical OS or any other framework, helps you to spot them. So if you just replace the word birds with ethical issues or foresight issues, I think you understand how this analogy actually plays out. And so we've built the Ethical OS to actually aid in just doing this very thing.
So we built three different tools in the Ethical OS. I'll introduce you to each of those tools as a way of exercising this foresight muscle. And the first is a set of scenarios to consider that just sort of start pumping the juices.
The neat thing about this was it really showed a great deal of foresight into the questions of debugging.
But you know, I didn't have that foresight .
What we do is we start, first of all, by ensuring that our internal teams are experts in understanding where the future is heading. We invest a lot in people that have this ... expertise when it comes to future foresight . We invest a lot in internal talent.
Kaman and Giorgio, thank you to both of you for your insights and foresight .
It became a pilot, a pilot that you somehow had the foresight to see going for four to five seasons.
Of course, it's important to clarify from the outset that evolution does not have foresight or some divine plan in mind.
And I'm wondering, how do we get people to really have the foresight that these things are coming?
This, by the way, is the UK government Foresight Project on Mental Capital and Wellbeing from the "Nature"
smartest person in the room. And and my dad had foresight . Even though he died 19 months ago, he never knew I was
We'll talk a lot more about what that means, but for now, let's just say that this talk is about how not to regret the things that you will build, and the ways, the tools, the foresight , the frameworks that we can bring to the process of developing new technologies to ensure that we have in mind from the outset the user, the societies, the communities that will be impacted by the products that we actually build and ultimately ship.