things used to be. My assessment on this is definitely a little bit different. I think at the end of the day, these are insurgencies, right? These are insurgent candidacies. We're talking about no name recognition for a state legislator that was entirely propped up by
because it's no longer working as effectively as it used to cuz you know, sometimes you have insurgents that win. And the reason why I say this is because I'm much more favorable to Crowley in the aftermath of Hong's defeat than Nera has been towards Abdul El-Sayed and that's the Senate
Can such wars even be considered civil in the sense of taking place among members of the same community, when for example, insurgent groups comprise transnational elements like Al-Qaeda, or Daesh, ISIS-- or deliberately set themselves against the existing world order of states by proclaiming their wish to form supranational communities, like the caliphate proclaimed by ISIS.
the conversation saying you know tell me about American foreign policy Vis A Sunni Insurgency rather what they say to me because they know that I'm you know Jewish and from Los Angeles and lived in Israel for a year the Arab entrepreneurs that I met in the neighboring states in the West Bank and Gaza and Lebanon in
counterproductive tactics that his tactics were brutal and helped inflame the Insurgency well it so happened that Emma Sky uh had just read Fiasco when odierno called her up one day and offered her the job of being his political adviser and I wouldn't advise trying this in your own job interviews she said to him
occupation it then became a slow growing but durable Insurgency then it became an American oh then then it actually became a small Civil War followed by a pretty competent American counterinsurgency campaign now
So, you think the United States is going to put ground troops in, Iran are going to resist, and then chaos is going to break out in the United ethnic insurgents. Okay. That you can also finance as well.
current fights happening within the Democratic Party. And one of the biggest is whether the left-wing anger that has fueled insurgent candidates in New York City and in Colorado applies to places outside of those typically blue areas and in states more important to the midterms and the Electoral College.
Maybe this volatility ultimately leads to a better place. That insurgency becomes more and more radical, becomes more of an al-Qaeda insurgency.
but if they think you're going to win and maybe that it's going to be better for you if they do, it may well, again, affect their readiness to give support to insurgents, provide recruits to insurgents, fund them, or whatever else they might do. And similarly also in the business sphere, if you look at the literature now,
being paid about $30 million a month a good deal to my mind if they're not going to kill you the Insurgent sits down with Sam after the deal after the reconciliation ceremony and says let me tell you a couple of things you never caught me because when you came to my neighborhood the Iraqi police at the checkpoint called called me up and said they're
So, you think the United States is going to put ground troops in, Iran are going to resist, and then chaos is going to break out in the United have a history of insurgency against the government, okay?
year of Democratic primaries? What do you take away? Yeah. So, I think you see a kind of insurgent left in um so, you know, until until the Michigan primary and in blue cities and uh blue areas,
And that war strategy was one in which the military decided to exterminate all people who lived in areas where there was a presence of insurgent groups. And one of the things that we talk about when we talk about these types of cases in which we're trying war criminals, or trying people for crimes
At that moment, and I'll come back to this in a few minutes, there was a highly political debate about what to call the conflict in Iraq at that point, whether it was an insurgency or terrorism, or indeed, civil war, and I was listening to that debate on TV and radio at that point. At the same moment that I was reading some papers in the Huntington Library from the 19th century in the middle
In one case, two commentators, including the very eminent British military historian, Sir John Keegan, worked out that since the middle of the 17th century, So calling it an insurgency or terrorism ramped it down, turned any attempts to fight it into police actions, and threw the responsibility
So my father-in-law, he has no idea what I do in California. This group was an insurgent group.
And I think with things going their way, with maybe other countries supporting the Taliban less, or the insurgency in a way that a foreigner wouldn't often.
Maybe this volatility ultimately leads to a better place. They become an insurgency.
Maybe this volatility ultimately leads to a better place. So that seed of insurgency, which was always there, goes over and finds incredibly fertile ground in Syria and blossoms into ISIS.
Maybe this volatility ultimately leads to a better place. You're the insurgent, by the way, in this example.
All kinds of little things like that. Just tiny little insurgent voices that only a real Pink Floyd connoisseur would even notice. But it was fun.
So beginning of last year, President Obama gave direction to the US military where he said we're going to get out of the business of doing large scale, long duration stabilization operations or counter insurgencies. He said we're not going to structure the force for that anymore.
Now, I would submit to you that even if an insurgent as legendary as Che Guevara could ultimately be hunted down, defeated, and killed, there is no insurgency so strong it could not be defeated. The question is, how?
And it's an illustration of the dangers of being overly heavy handed in your approach to counterinsurgency, because that can backfire, as it in fact did for the French in Algeria. of the insurgency. They even imported headhunters from Borneo to act as trackers.
And it's an illustration of the dangers of being overly heavy handed in your approach to counterinsurgency, because that can backfire, as it in fact did for the French in Algeria. Whereas actual protracted insurgencies have, maybe Dave will contradict me, but it's hard for me off the top my head to think
at Harvard, one the first serious academic business strategists-- was essentially about maintaining your market position and repelling insurgents in the sense of putting up market barriers rather than necessarily making better products.
and global counter insurgency.
fought off insurgent movements in civil wars with both sides armed financed and egged on by the Cold War superpowers. Let me just show you that time series. I'll show it as a stacked
belonged there or insurgents that didn't belong there.
Muslims are in the Insurgency and the answer is none okay they're all malayas so you may think of it or you may talk
actual counter Insurgency their experiences of peacekeeping from Bosnia and places like that and it turns out there's a subtle difference between
peacekeeping and counter Insurgency in peacekeeping you're trying to keep the environment quiet in counter Insurgency you're trying to deal with a small
political arms this really came home to me I think in my favorite part of the book which is called the Insurgent Who Loved Titanic meaning the movie there's a young officer I knew Named Sam cook a captain in the third Cavalry Regiment he found out about a local Insurgent in his area who boasted
Obama was an insurgent figure. I think the book shows the extent to which Obama was much
merited the name of civil war. Perhaps it was terrorism or insurgency, but not a civil war, they argued. For many inside and outside Iraq, there could, in fact, be no doubt what was happening at that point.
and all that eventually started the Sunni insurgency, partly to protect the Sunni population from the Shia who
and he became the leader of the insurgency that went to Mitzi and asked for-- can you pay us?
And I was kidnapped by insurgents in Fallujah.
Is your strategy just to be an insurgent and get these ideas in and then hope for the best?
Thank you for your service. David Kilcullen is a counter insurgency expert. He first, at least, came to my attention as part of the surge in Iraq in 2007, but his resume goes much deeper than that.
Remember the statistic I cited to you just a minute ago. Even if in the post-'45 era insurgents are winning 40% percent of their campaigns, what's the flip side of that? Obviously, they're still losing 60%.
And it's an illustration of the dangers of being overly heavy handed in your approach to counterinsurgency, because that can backfire, as it in fact did for the French in Algeria. That's what drives an insurgency.
role of cotton in actually perpetuating an insurgency.
Question number two is about the Maoist Insurgents in India. Even people like are coming out saying that because of this abject failure of governments and there even the
abug grabe detainee torture Scandal now A couple of years ago a smart young Captain like Sam Cook who found out that there was an Insurgent around boasting of having planted 200 bombs would launch a raid go down and kill or capture the guy Sam Cook did something almost un American he invited the Insurgent over
kill or capture the guy Sam Cook did something almost un American he invited the Insurgent over for a cup of tea the Insurgent showed up a little bit curious a little bit puzzled but also wondering what exactly was going on here the American knew who he was where he was but hadn't tried to kill him and he
they did not have popular consent that the insurgency in the south was not just based on support from the north but
unilaterally or through third countries as appropriate support to Afghan insurgents. This is now a finding is an
And he's the one who coined the term insurgent math, that 10 minus two equals 20, you know?